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Technical Analysis – Silver’s bounce may take a rest after 12-year high

Silver slides after unlocking an almost 12-year highTechnical signals suggest rally is overstretchedSilver made some big waves on Friday, and it even found fresh buying interest to run up to 34.25 on Monday – its highest point in nearly twelve years. But now it seems like the bulls might need to catch their breath for a bit. With the price closing above the upper Bollinger band and the stochastic oscillator flagging overbought conditions, a little pause might be on the horizon.If not immediate
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GBPCAD trades sideways, a tad below the 1.8045 levelMarket is confident about a 50bps rate cut on WednesdayMomentum indicators are mildly bullishGBPCAD is trading sideways, a tad below the 1.8045 level. The April 22, 2024 ascending trendline remains valid and has gained importance as the bears have repeatedly failed to stage a decisive breakout. Most market participants are actually preparing for Wednesday’s BoC meeting.
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Technical Analysis – US 500 index is a little wobbly near record high

US 500 stock index loses steam before reaching all-time highTechnical signals show falling buying appetite; support at 5,850 The US 500 stock index is shaky at the top of its uptrend. It recently lost some momentum, closing below October’s support trendline on the four-hour chart. This might lead to increased selling interest if the price also dips below the 20-period simple moving average (SMA) at 5,850.With technical indicators pointing to weakening buying enthusiasm, the 50-period SMA a
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Weekly Technical Outlook – USDCAD, EURUSD, GBPUSD

USDCAD rally may have more room to go as BoC rate decision awaitedEURUSD looks fragile following ECB’s meeting; flash PMIs next in focusGBPUSD is not out of the woods; flash PMIs could provide fresh direction BoC rate decision --> USDCAD  USDCAD is back in the 1.3800 territory and a short distance below October’s high of 1.3837 as investors expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) to slash interest rates by 50bps 3.75% on Wednesday.
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Technical Analysis – EURUSD retests 200-SMA near 1.0870

EURUSD finds support at medium-term uptrend lineMomentum oscillators are mixedEURUSD is flirting with the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), which lies near the 1.0870 resistance level and seems to be a tough obstacle for bulls. To the downside, the market hit the medium-term uptrend line and returned slightly to the upside near 1.0850.The technical oscillators show some contradicting signs.
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Daily Comment – Gold and dollar edge up as markets bet on Trump win

US election risks move to the forefront as Trump narrows gap with HarrisGold begins week with new record as geopolitical tensions add to demandStocks mixed ahead of key earningsTrump trade makes a returnGold extended its record streak at the start of the new trading week as investors increasingly bet on Donald Trump winning the US presidential election on November 5. The precious metal climbed to all-time highs above $2,730/oz amid the growing risk of Trump returning to the White House.
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BoC policy meeting: a rate cut and clues for the next one – Preview

BoC is expected to cut rates by 50 bps, the fourth one in a rowPolicymakers may give some hints about the December meetingLoonie looks strongly bearishDecision comes out on Wednesday at 13:45 GMTFall in inflation confirms the rate cutIt is widely expected that the Bank of Canada (BoC) will announce a substantial interest rate cut on Wednesday, particularly in light of the inflation data that was released the previous week.
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EURCHF continues to trade in a tight rangeThe medium-term bearish trend is still validMomentum indicators prepare for the next key moveEURCHF is trading slightly higher today, a tad below the busy 0.9403-0.9423 area. EURCHF has actually been range-trading over the past few sessions, but it has managed the break below the developing contracting triangle.
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Technical Analysis – Gold unlocks another record high of 2,732

Gold creates new bullish waveTechnical oscillators endorse upside momentumGold prices skyrocketed to another all-time high of 2,732 earlier today, continuing the strong bounce off the 2,600 support level. The price successfully jumped above the ascending channel, which has been standing since the beginning of June, endorsing the bullish structure.Technically, the RSI indicator recently jumped above the 70 level, and the stochastic oscillator is rising in the overbought region.
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Week Ahead – BoC to speed up rate cuts; flash PMIs eyed for growth clues

Bank of Canada meets; may opt for bigger 50-bps cutOctober flash PMIs to set the mood amid some growth concernsA relatively quiet week otherwise, with mostly second-tier releasesBoC to likely cut by half a pointExpectations that the Bank of Canada will cut rates by 50 basis points at its October meeting firmed up after the latest CPI data. Nevertheless, markets are not fully convinced of an outsized move, hence, there is a little bit of uncertainty heading into Wednesday’s decision by Canada��
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Technical Analysis – US dollar index retreats after strong bullish wave

US dollar index finds resistance at 200-day SMAStochastic and RSI edge downThe US dollar index is easing somewhat after the aggressive buying interest that started back in September 27. The price added almost 4% and recorded a fresh more-than-two-month high around 103.67, finding resistance at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA).If the market overcomes the latter obstacle could endorse the bullish pressure towards the 104.50 resistance.
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Technical Analysis – Ethereum fails to record a higher high

Cryptocurrencies are mostly in demand this weekEthereum rallies but fails to overcome the 2,667 levelMomentum indicators are mostly bullishFollowing Monday’s strong upleg, ethereum is experiencing a few quiet sessions by trading in a tight range. It is in the green today, but it remains stuck below the mid-September 2021 low of 2,667. Contrary to bitcoin’s strong performance and despite the positive newsflow, ethereum has failed to surpass the late-September peak, and hence continues to trad
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US 100 index maintains buying interestBulls need a close above 20,550-20,680Bears wait below 20,000   The US 100 index continues to hover above the key 20,000 level, following a pullback from a three-month high of 20,499 on Monday, signaling that buying interest is still alive.Technical indicators suggest potential for further gains, with the RSI showing signs of rebound and stochastic oscillators looking for an upside reversal.
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Daily Comment – Strong US data keep the dollar in demand

 ECB cuts rate, keeps door wide open to a December moveEuro suffers as US retail sales surprise on the upsideFocus today is on Fedspeak and in particular Fed’s BosticGold surpasses $2,700 as China announces further measuresECB announces rate cut, prepares for a December moveThe euro suffered another weak session yesterday, with the euro/dollar pair dropping below the key 200-day simple moving average and euro/pound fully erasing the recent UK CPI-induced correction.
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Technical Analysis – EURGBP goes back to a downtrend

EURGBP charts new 2 ½-year low after UK retail sales beat estimates Short-term bias is skewed to the downside, but price near familiar support line EURGBP plunged to a new 2½-year low of 0.8293, weighed by upbeat UK retail sales at 4.0% y/y and a dovish ECB policy stance, which raised concerns about the eurozone's growth.The outlook appears grim: the RSI is declining in bearish territory, and the MACD has crossed below its signal line.
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Technical Analysis – USDCHF overcomes medium-term uptrend line

USDCHF rebounds off 0.840020- and 50-day SMA post bullish crossoverMACD and RSI still above their mid-levelsUSDCHF has charged through its medium-term descending trend line near 0.8650 after the strong pullback from the 0.8400 round number. The momentum indicators point to a bullish bias in the near term, but there is also a risk of a negative correction.
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Tech earnings take center stage – Stock Markets

Magnificent seven start to report earnings as Wall Street hovers near all-time highQ3 earnings from Netflix, Tesla, and Amazon are on the weekly agendaWall Street has been on fire recently, reaching new heights as the earnings season for Q3 kicked off with a bang, with investors cheering on bank profit beats and China's fresh fiscal spending announcement fueling more optimism across the board.Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co reported record earnings, helping to cushion the blow from ASM
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Technical Analysis – EURUSD selloff accelerates

Downleg in EURUSD continues, erases the summer rallyIt has easily overcome the key 200-day SMAMomentum indicators are representative of the decline's strengthEURUSD is trading aggressively lower today on the back of the ECB announcing another rate cut and the US retail sales report producing another upside surprise. EURUSD has easily broken below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), almost entirely erasing the summer rally that pushed EURUSD to a 14-month high at 1.1213.The strength of
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Quick Brief - US retail sales give dollar bulls another shot in the arm

Retail sales in the US rise by more than expected in SeptemberInitial jobless claims are also better than expectedUS dollar edges higher after the dataIt’s a hat-trick of stronger-than-expected data for the US economy as retail sales, weekly jobless claims and the Philly Fed manufacturing index all beat their forecasts on Thursday. Retail sales rose by 0.4% m/m in September, topping estimates of 0.3% and accelerating from the prior 0.1% reading.
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Quick Brief – ECB cut rates by 25 bps as expected

ECB’s announcement has no strong impact on the marketEuro continues the selling interestSeptember inflation revised down to 1.7% y/yThe ECB cut its interest rates by 25 bps in October as forecasted following similar moves in September and June. The ECB adjusted three different rates: 3.25% for the deposit facility, 3.4% for the main refinancing operations, and 3.65% for the marginal lending facility.A more recent evaluation of inflation has shown that disinflation is making positive progre
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