PulteGroup set for biggest daily drop in two years after weaker sale margins
Updates, adds company commentary from earnings call
** PulteGroup PHM.N shares down 6.4% at $135.06 on Tues and on track for their biggest daily pct drop since Sept 2022 after homebuilder beat analyst earnings expectations but reported home sale gross margins below year-ago levels
** An index of housing shares .HGX is down 2.7% on Tues following a 3% drop on Mon, when the benchmark 10-yr Treasury yield hit a 12-wk high
** 30-year mortgage rates loosely follow moves in the 10-yr Treasury yield, and can affect prospects for homebuilders
** Wedbush analysts wrote in a note Tues: "Despite the higher than expected closings and a $548k average closing price (near the top end of the guide), Pulte's F3Q24 gross margin of 28.8% was 70bp lower yoy and 20bp below management's guidance."
** PHM said home sale gross margins in the third quarter was 28.8%, compared with 29.5% in the prior year period
** On the earnings call, CFO Robert O'Shaughnessy said Q3 margins were impacted by higher incentive costs used to sell homes given competitive market dynamics
** "As such, we expect incentives to remain elevated for at least the remainder of the year," O'Shaughnessy said
** PHM among biggest decliners in S&P 500 .SPX, which is off fractionally Tues
** Other HGX decliners on Tues include Lennar LEN.N and DR Horton DHI.N both down >3%
** Homebuilders have been helped by a shortage of existing homes for sale
** Even with decline on Tues, PHM up ~31% YTD and up ~90% over the past 12 months. In comparison, SPX up nearly 23% in 2024 and up roughly 40% over the past year
Reporting by Caroline Valetkevitch and Lance Tupper
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