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Dollar rises in tandem with US rates on economic view

FOREX-Dollar rises in tandem with US rates on economic view Fed officials suggest gradual rate cuts ahead Investors position for Nov. 5 US presidential election Updated at 3:04 pm ET/1904 GMT By Chuck Mikolajczak NEW YORK, Oct 21 (Reuters) - The dollar climbed on Monday, buoyed by a rise in U.S. bond yields, as a run of solid U.S. economic data suggested the Federal Reserve can afford to be patient in cutting rates while investors positioned for the Nov.
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US recap: Euro sinks as yield propel dollar upwards

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: Euro sinks as yield propel dollar upwards Oct 21 (Reuters) - The dollar strengthened broadly on Monday amid higher U.S. bond yields after comments from Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Lorie Logan and bullish greenback positioning ahead of the Nov. 5 presidential election. The dollar index surged 0.5% and is set to close above its 200-day moving average for the first time since Aug.
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Dollar climbs with US rates on economic outlook

FOREX-Dollar climbs with US rates on economic outlook Updated at 10:49 a.m. ET/1449 GMT By Chuck Mikolajczak NEW YORK, Oct 21 (Reuters) - The dollar climbed on Monday, buoyed by a rise in U.S. bond yields, as solid U.S. economic data suggested the Federal Reserve can afford to be patient in cutting rates while investors positioned for the Nov. 5 presidential election .
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Strong U.S. economy and 'Trump trades' boost dollar

FOREX-Strong U.S. economy and 'Trump trades' boost dollar Updates at 1125 GMT By Vidya Ranganathan and Harry Robertson SINGAPORE/LONDON, Oct 21 (Reuters) - The dollar climbed on Monday and cryptocurrency bitcoin hit a three-month high as a rise in U.S. bond yields and the looming presidential election continued to impact markets. Currency moves last week were driven by the European Central Bank's dovish rate cut and strong U.S.
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Strong U.S. economy and 'Trump trades' boost dollar

FOREX-Strong U.S. economy and 'Trump trades' boost dollar Updates at 0810 GMT By Vidya Ranganathan and Harry Robertson SINGAPORE/LONDON, Oct 21 (Reuters) - T he dollar climbed on Monday and c ryptocurrency bitcoin hit a three-month high a s a rise in U.S. bond yields and the looming Presidential election continued to impact markets. Currency moves last week were driven by the European Central Bank's dovish rate cut and strong U.S.
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'Trump trade' and yields keep dollar supported

FOREX-'Trump trade' and yields keep dollar supported Updates prices By Vidya Ranganathan SINGAPORE, Oct 21 (Reuters) - Cryptocurrency bitcoin hit a three-month high in early trading on Monday and the dollar looked set to extend its gains in markets counting down to the U.S. presidential election in two weeks. Election polls that show rising odds of former President Donald Trump winning the Nov.
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Bitcoin at 3-month high as Trump odds drive currencies

FOREX-Bitcoin at 3-month high as Trump odds drive currencies SINGAPORE, Oct 21 (Reuters) - Cryptocurrency bitcoin hit a three-month high in early Asia trading on Monday and the dollar looked set to extend its gains in markets counting down to the U.S. presidential election in two weeks. Election polls show rising odds of former President Donald Trump winning the Nov.
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US recap: EUR/USD trims weekly loss as dollar gives way

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD trims weekly loss as dollar gives way Oct 18 (Reuters) - The dollar fell on Friday amid profit-taking ahead of the weekend and investor optimism about U.S. corporate earnings and China stimulus efforts. In U.S. data, single-family home building surged to a five-month high though building permits rose only marginally.
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FX options wrap - Pricing FX calm before US election storm

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Pricing FX calm before US election storm Price action in FX options reinforces the outlook that there's little to excite FX markets before the U.S. election, but plenty of risks to hedge in its wake. The recent/current lack of FX realised volatility is weighing on implied volatility, especially for options that expire prior to the U.S.
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Cheap USD/JPY options to hedge major event risks

BUZZ-COMMENT-Cheap USD/JPY options to hedge major event risks Oct 18 (Reuters) - A lack of FX realised volatility has reduced the price of USD/JPY option premiums, which are almost screaming value ahead of some major event risks. FX options thrive on FX volatility, which is an unknown quantity but a key parameter for the premium. Dealers therefore use implied volatility, which is basically their best guess.
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US dollar buoyed by retail sales data, euro falls as more cuts underway

REFILE-FOREX-US dollar buoyed by retail sales data, euro falls as more cuts underway Removes extraneous euro rate in 10th paragraph US dollar index hits fresh 11-week high US retail sales rise in September ECB cuts rates for 3rd time this year US rate future price in 44 bps of cuts this year By Karen Brettell and Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss NEW YORK, Oct 17 (Reuters) - The U.S.
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US recap: EUR/USD slides after ECB cut, dour outlook

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD slides after ECB cut, dour outlook USD/JPY holds above 150 on Goldilocks view AUD/USD -Longs hold onto gains despite US data results Oct 17 (Reuters) - The dollar rose to a fresh 11-week high on Thursday after a batch of economic data showed a U.S. economy that remains resilient. U.S retail sales rose an above-forecast 0.4% in September, weekly jobless claims fell, October’s Philadelphia Fed index beat the median estimate and the NAHB homebuilder index edged up i
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Dollar jumps as retail sales confirm strong US economy

FOREX-Dollar jumps as retail sales confirm strong US economy Updated at 10:00 EDT By Karen Brettell NEW YORK, Oct 17 (Reuters) - The dollar jumped to an 11-week high on Thursday after data showed that U.S. retail sales increased slightly more than expected in September, boosting confidence that the U.S. economy remains strong. It followed a relatively muted currency reaction to the European Central Bank's decision to cut rates by 25 basis points, as expected.
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FX options wrap - USD gains and Trump trades are key drivers

BUZZ-FX options wrap - USD gains and Trump trades are key drivers FX option implied volatility remains broadly heavy amid the ongoing lack of FX realised volatility, but the impending U.S. election and the risk of an extended USD recovery maintain demand and premium for the 'Trump trade' . Overnight expiry EUR related implied volatility was the lowest for any ECB policy announcement in 2024 - consistent with the lack of actual volatility in its wake.
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These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade'

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade' Repeats with no changes Oct 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has regained his poll lead over Democratic rival Kamala Harris with only three weeks to go before the U.S. election and it's fuelling demand for options to hedge the risk of a stronger USD rebound.
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US recap: EUR/USD slips ahead of ECB amid dollar rally

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD slips ahead of ECB amid dollar rally Oct 16 (Reuters) - The dollar index rose to a new 10-week high amid greenback buying in the run up to U.S. elections and favorable investor sentiment after upbeat bank earnings, while investors also geared up for U.S data on Thursday including retail sales. The euro fell to a two-month low, sliding below its 200-day moving average ahead of an expected rate cut by the European Central Bank Thursday.
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FX options wrap - Trump trade, ECB risk, revealing sales

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Trump trade, ECB risk, revealing sales Shorter dated expiry implied volatility in most of the major currency pairs remains under pressure and reflects the lack of current FX realised volatility. That's not expected to change much until the U.S. election, where implied volatility is higher and better supported. Overnight expiry implied volatility remains very low, even in EUR related pairings which now include Thursday's ECB policy announcement .
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FX options show ECB risk to EUR/USD is at long time low

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX options show ECB risk to EUR/USD is at long time low Oct 16 (Reuters) - The European Central Bank is almost unanimously expected to cut rates by 25bps to 3.25% on Thursday. An increase in related FX option premiums shows the market is not complacent about the potential for increased FX volatility, but expects it to be limited. Overnight options expire on the next working day at 10 a.m.
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These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade'

BUZZ-COMMENT-These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade' Oct 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has regained his poll lead over Democratic rival Kamala Harris with only three weeks to go before the U.S. election and it's fuelling demand for options to hedge the risk of a stronger USD rebound. USD call options give holders the right to buy the USD at levels that are advantageous to the FX spot rate, for an upfront premium.
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Sell EUR/JPY, buy GBP/JPY as rate expectations shift?

BUZZ-COMMENT-Sell EUR/JPY, buy GBP/JPY as rate expectations shift? Oct 16 (Reuters) - Recent market moves and shifting central bank expectations suggest EUR/JPY could be a good sell and GBP/JPY potentially a buy. There is now a growing view that the European Central Bank could be more dovish than the U.S. Federal Reserve and in contrast to the still hawkish-leaning Bank of Japan.
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